The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
DECEMBER 2006 KEY POINTS
Trend
The December 2006 trend estimate (81 369) increased 0.3% compared with the November 2006 estimate. This was the seventh consecutive positive trend estimate. Since December 2005, the trend estimate has increased 0.2%.
Passenger vehicle sales recorded an increase of 0.1% in December. The largest increase in December was recorded by sports utility vehicles at 1.1%. The other vehicle types decreased (0.1%) this month, the twelfth consecutive month of negative trend estimates for this category.
Western Australia (0.6%) and Queensland (0.8%) recorded the largest trend estimate increases whilst Tasmania (0.9%), South Australia (0.6%) and Victoria (0.2%) all recorded decreases over this time.
Seasonally adjusted
The December 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (81 361) increased 0.8% compared with November 2006 estimates.
Tasmania, South Australia and the ACT recorded decreases in monthly seasonally adjusted estimates. Increases were recorded in the Northern Territory (5.6%), Western Australia (2.8%), Victoria (1.8%), New South Wales (1.0%) and Queensland (0.2%).
Over this period only passenger vehicles recorded an increase (1.8%), with sports utility vehicles (0.5%) and other vehicles (1.4%) decreasing.
New motor vehicles sales December 2006
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 24 801 | 20 130 | 18 331 | 4 779 | 9 859 | 1 435 | 794 | 1 232 | 81 361 |
Trend | 24 847 | 20 172 | 18 156 | 4 838 | 9 771 | 1 557 | 791 | 1 237 | 81 369 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | -2.7 | 2.8 | -11.9 | 5.6 | -1.4 | 0.8 |
Trend | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 0.6 | -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 0.3 | -7.4 | 5.1 | -9.4 | 13.0 | -10.6 | 4.3 | 5.8 | -0.1 |
Trend | -0.1 | -5.1 | 3.5 | -8.0 | 12.0 | -1.3 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
| | |
January 2006
February 2007 | 21 February 2007
21 March 2007 | |
March 2007 | 20 April 2007 | |
April 2007 | 22 May 2007 | |
May 2007
June 2007 | 20 June 2007
20 July 2007 | |
WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES
The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. Due to this, from the December 2006 9314.0 onwards, future trend estimates for this "what-if" analysis will no longer be presented. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.
1 | The January 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the December 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
2 | The January 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the December 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
| |
| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) | |
| |
Original | |
| |
2005 | October | 48 434 | 12 503 | 15 181 | 76 118 | -7.1 | -17.1 | -12.0 | -9.9 | |
| November | 52 751 | 14 252 | 16 535 | 83 538 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 9.7 | |
| December | 47 945 | 15 046 | 16 286 | 79 277 | -9.1 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -5.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 43 761 | 13 251 | 12 991 | 70 003 | -8.7 | -11.9 | -20.2 | -11.7 | |
| February | 48 483 | 13 506 | 15 457 | 77 446 | 10.8 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 10.6 | |
| March | 53 188 | 15 896 | 18 072 | 87 156 | 9.7 | 17.7 | 16.9 | 12.5 | |
| April | 42 307 | 11 901 | 14 442 | 68 650 | -20.5 | -25.1 | -20.1 | -21.2 | |
| May | 50 683 | 14 816 | 17 958 | 83 457 | 19.8 | 24.5 | 24.3 | 21.6 | |
| June | 57 026 | 18 079 | 21 343 | 96 448 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 15.6 | |
| July | 48 798 | 13 279 | 15 485 | 77 562 | -14.4 | -26.6 | -27.4 | -19.6 | |
| August | 52 030 | 13 539 | 16 092 | 81 661 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 5.3 | |
| September | 51 388 | 13 208 | 15 397 | 79 993 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -4.3 | -2.0 | |
| October
November | 50 532
51 850 | 13 921
15 193 | 15 477
16 254 | 79 930
83 297 | -1.7
2.6 | 5.4
9.1 | 0.5
5.0 | -0.1
4.2 | |
| December | 48 348 | 14 258 | 14 457 | 77 063 | -6.8 | -6.2 | -11.1 | -7.5 | |
| |
Seasonally adjusted | |
| |
2005 | October | 49 185 | 13 893 | 16 062 | 79 140 | -4.1 | -7.8 | -6.7 | -5.3 | |
| November | 50 203 | 14 220 | 16 555 | 80 978 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.3 | |
| December | 49 575 | 14 889 | 16 964 | 81 428 | -1.3 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.6 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 51 173 | 14 564 | 16 965 | 82 702 | 3.2 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | |
| February | 49 938 | 14 091 | 16 643 | 80 672 | -2.4 | -3.2 | -1.9 | -2.5 | |
| March | 48 618 | 13 956 | 16 586 | 79 160 | -2.6 | -1.0 | -0.3 | -1.9 | |
| April | 49 362 | 13 917 | 16 364 | 79 643 | 1.5 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 0.6 | |
| May | 49 572 | 13 975 | 16 332 | 79 879 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.3 | |
| June | 48 848 | 14 310 | 15 591 | 78 749 | -1.5 | 2.4 | -4.5 | -1.4 | |
| July | 50 738 | 14 179 | 16 110 | 81 027 | 3.9 | -0.9 | 3.3 | 2.9 | |
| August | 50 228 | 13 083 | 15 897 | 79 208 | -1.0 | -7.7 | -1.3 | -2.2 | |
| September | 50 858 | 14 537 | 15 923 | 81 318 | 1.3 | 11.1 | 0.2 | 2.7 | |
| October | 50 148 | 15 023 | 16 164 | 81 335 | -1.4 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | |
| November | 50 050 | 14 837 | 15 863 | 80 750 | -0.2 | -1.2 | -1.9 | -0.7 | |
| December | 50 958 | 14 769 | 15 634 | 81 361 | 1.8 | -0.5 | -1.4 | 0.8 | |
| |
Trend | |
| |
2005 | October | 50 331 | 14 701 | 16 749 | 81 781 | -0.9 | -0.5 | -0.7 | -0.8 | |
| November | 50 159 | 14 592 | 16 737 | 81 488 | -0.3 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.4 | |
| December | 50 031 | 14 446 | 16 743 | 81 220 | -0.3 | -1.0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 49 879 | 14 301 | 16 735 | 80 915 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -0.0 | -0.4 | |
| February | 49 689 | 14 211 | 16 683 | 80 583 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.4 | |
| March | 49 502 | 14 136 | 16 564 | 80 202 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -0.7 | -0.5 | |
| April | 49 390 | 14 035 | 16 371 | 79 796 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -1.2 | -0.5 | |
| May | 49 432 | 13 937 | 16 170 | 79 539 | 0.1 | -0.7 | -1.2 | -0.3 | |
| June | 49 651 | 13 923 | 16 034 | 79 608 | 0.4 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 0.1 | |
| July | 49 953 | 14 004 | 15 970 | 79 927 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 0.4 | |
| August | 50 223 | 14 145 | 15 949 | 80 317 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 0.5 | |
| September | 50 377 | 14 331 | 15 939 | 80 647 | 0.3 | 1.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | |
| October | 50 475 | 14 534 | 15 917 | 80 926 | 0.2 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 0.3 | |
| November | 50 551 | 14 728 | 15 879 | 81 158 | 0.2 | 1.3 | -0.2 | 0.3 | |
| December | 50 626 | 14 884 | 15 859 | 81 369 | 0.1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
| |
| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. | |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | |
| |
Original | |
| |
2005 | October | 22 949 | 20 289 | 16 026 | 5 030 | 8 349 | 1 655 | 659 | 1 161 | 76 118 | |
| November | 25 716 | 22 428 | 17 181 | 5 500 | 9 107 | 1 667 | 690 | 1 249 | 83 538 | |
| December | 23 054 | 22 110 | 16 208 | 5 335 | 8 664 | 2 080 | 690 | 1 136 | 79 277 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 21 995 | 17 876 | 15 107 | 4 380 | 7 604 | 1 295 | 616 | 1 130 | 70 003 | |
| February | 24 495 | 19 979 | 16 452 | 5 085 | 8 165 | 1 373 | 731 | 1 166 | 77 446 | |
| March | 27 165 | 21 461 | 19 833 | 5 195 | 9 750 | 1 540 | 913 | 1 299 | 87 156 | |
| April | 21 171 | 17 636 | 14 820 | 4 619 | 7 507 | 1 129 | 764 | 1 004 | 68 650 | |
| May | 25 124 | 20 776 | 18 774 | 5 601 | 9 472 | 1 623 | 863 | 1 224 | 83 457 | |
| June | 28 560 | 23 015 | 23 091 | 6 164 | 11 170 | 1 936 | 1 058 | 1 454 | 96 448 | |
| July | 23 688 | 19 322 | 17 910 | 4 794 | 8 720 | 1 334 | 679 | 1 115 | 77 562 | |
| August | 24 223 | 21 043 | 18 124 | 5 107 | 9 736 | 1 436 | 768 | 1 224 | 81 661 | |
| September | 24 267 | 20 449 | 17 061 | 4 903 | 9 716 | 1 688 | 682 | 1 227 | 79 993 | |
| October
November | 24 379
25 418 | 20 785
20 739 | 16 625
18 076 | 4 781
5 116 | 9 591
9 972 | 1 797
1 973 | 762
733 | 1 210
1 270 | 79 930
83 297 | |
| December | 22 927 | 19 790 | 16 551 | 4 700 | 9 471 | 1 748 | 688 | 1 188 | 77 063 | |
| |
Seasonally adjusted | |
| |
2005 | October | 23 838 | 20 638 | 17 489 | 5 195 | 8 500 | 1 567 | 729 | 1 184 | 79 140 | |
| November | 24 601 | 21 471 | 17 340 | 5 299 | 8 883 | 1 463 | 722 | 1 199 | 80 978 | |
| December | 24 721 | 21 736 | 17 445 | 5 274 | 8 721 | 1 605 | 761 | 1 165 | 81 428 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 25 610 | 21 231 | 18 021 | 5 339 | 8 814 | 1 601 | 812 | 1 274 | 82 702 | |
| February | 25 083 | 20 924 | 17 245 | 5 256 | 8 538 | 1 623 | 790 | 1 213 | 80 672 | |
| March | 24 488 | 19 950 | 17 580 | 4 839 | 8 731 | 1 592 | 775 | 1 205 | 79 160 | |
| April | 24 140 | 20 488 | 17 391 | 5 311 | 8 874 | 1 497 | 746 | 1 196 | 79 643 | |
| May | 23 941 | 20 178 | 17 797 | 5 252 | 9 239 | 1 582 | 742 | 1 148 | 79 879 | |
| June | 23 978 | 19 418 | 17 515 | 5 043 | 9 084 | 1 718 | 762 | 1 231 | 78 749 | |
| July | 24 257 | 20 437 | 18 277 | 5 126 | 9 504 | 1 513 | 743 | 1 170 | 81 027 | |
| August | 23 892 | 20 202 | 17 302 | 4 924 | 9 490 | 1 408 | 793 | 1 197 | 79 208 | |
| September | 24 728 | 20 740 | 17 508 | 5 016 | 9 653 | 1 668 | 764 | 1 241 | 81 318 | |
| October | 24 988 | 20 323 | 17 797 | 4 890 | 9 635 | 1 665 | 831 | 1 206 | 81 335 | |
| November | 24 555 | 19 770 | 18 297 | 4 912 | 9 586 | 1 628 | 752 | 1 250 | 80 750 | |
| December | 24 801 | 20 130 | 18 331 | 4 779 | 9 859 | 1 435 | 794 | 1 232 | 81 361 | |
| |
Trend | |
| |
2005 | October | 24 962 | 21 386 | 17 794 | 5 269 | 8 729 | 1 625 | 777 | 1 239 | 81 781 | |
| November | 24 897 | 21 341 | 17 644 | 5 272 | 8 746 | 1 598 | 768 | 1 222 | 81 488 | |
| December | 24 877 | 21 257 | 17 542 | 5 260 | 8 727 | 1 578 | 767 | 1 212 | 81 220 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 24 850 | 21 083 | 17 492 | 5 233 | 8 708 | 1 571 | 771 | 1 207 | 80 915 | |
| February | 24 780 | 20 819 | 17 494 | 5 206 | 8 727 | 1 577 | 773 | 1 207 | 80 583 | |
| March | 24 611 | 20 507 | 17 547 | 5 181 | 8 794 | 1 587 | 771 | 1 204 | 80 202 | |
| April | 24 352 | 20 224 | 17 603 | 5 159 | 8 911 | 1 585 | 763 | 1 199 | 79 796 | |
| May | 24 115 | 20 072 | 17 629 | 5 135 | 9 066 | 1 574 | 757 | 1 191 | 79 539 | |
| June | 24 032 | 20 075 | 17 643 | 5 108 | 9 236 | 1 569 | 756 | 1 189 | 79 608 | |
| July | 24 115 | 20 159 | 17 668 | 5 072 | 9 384 | 1 573 | 762 | 1 194 | 79 927 | |
| August | 24 297 | 20 240 | 17 708 | 5 021 | 9 494 | 1 579 | 773 | 1 205 | 80 317 | |
| September | 24 481 | 20 269 | 17 777 | 4 962 | 9 579 | 1 582 | 781 | 1 216 | 80 647 | |
| October | 24 635 | 20 253 | 17 886 | 4 911 | 9 651 | 1 580 | 786 | 1 224 | 80 926 | |
| November | 24 759 | 20 211 | 18 014 | 4 868 | 9 712 | 1 571 | 790 | 1 233 | 81 158 | |
| December | 24 847 | 20 172 | 18 156 | 4 838 | 9 771 | 1 557 | 791 | 1 237 | 81 369 | |
| |
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. | |